Wednesday, January 9, 2008

On Hilary Clinton's surprised win of New Hampshire primary...

Since I moved to US, I have come to be electrified by the excitement and anticipation from presidential elections and politics in general. This year is going to be a particular interesting year to watch.

On the GOP side, there is this wide open space that there is no clear frontrunner. Oh rather, there used to be dual frontrunners of the Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney for quite some time, but I doubt if either of them is going to excite the conservative, religious right. So, Fred Thompson joins the race to try to capitalize on that void. At last minute, the Iowa Caucus delivered Mike Huckabee out from the left field, and Giuliani was nowhere in sight. John McCain came back from the dead, elbowing Romney out from the supposedly two states that Romney should have carried. And with a more appealing Huckabee, the rights deserted Thompson.

On the Democratic side, it's even more fun. For months, Hilary Clinton has been frontrunner. She was pushed off the track by Barack Obama in the quirky Iowa caucus. Suddenly, there's talk everywhere that she would quit the race. Just as amazing is her comeback in the New Hampshire primary, the first primary in the long process before nomination, after the supposedly much televised emotional dialogue with female voters one day before the NH primary. Now Dem is back with the dual frontrunners with John Edwards chasing a distant third.

What is more interesting with the Dem NH primary result is that, it eliminates alot of the white noise of the so-called independents who might have boosted Obama in Iowa, but registered Dem are more solidly behind Clinton.

Given the bad vibe from the Bush administration, the declining economy, the never-ending war, and the general wrong-headed direction from W, GOP is likely to lose the White House. It'll be a momentous event for either Hilary (first female and former First Lady no less) or Obama (first black) to win the White House.

Truth be told, Hilary has been fighting for her social agenda for 35 years. With Obama, all we have is the word "hope." I really am not sure what kind of hope Obama can sell me, apart from the fact that he's a clean slate. He could well be someone who's capable. But with Hilary and Bill in tow, and their agenda that I've seen and like, that's more likely to get things going sooner. I wasn't that impressed with Obama in the various pre-primary Dem debates. He's just not a good debater at all. He's better at talking to himself in stump speeches on stage alone. I don't need another poster boy like W.

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